- The Phillies are -120 favorites vs the Giants
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+100) on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Phillies vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 20-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 19-22 ATS.
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -110 | -120 |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -110 | +100 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 71.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+8.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 79% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Johnson | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Zack Wheeler | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+6.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 games (+4.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 17-24 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -24.59% ROI).
- 20-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -11.37% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -15.24% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 8.05% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 19-22 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -9.69% ROI).
- 18-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -18.65% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.01% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season (220 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 80.4
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,906/4,355) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.6 MPH (120 batted balls) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.7 MPH on inside pitches since last season (249 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 85.5
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (46/71) against Alex Cobb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (95/146) against Alex Cobb this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (95/146) against Alex Cobb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (168/351) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are just 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Phillies are 14-76 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Phillies are just 1-15 (.062) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Phillies are just 92-7 (.929) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 6-6 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Giants are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Giants are just 1-16 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Giants are just 15-32 (.319) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .288 (516 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Phillies are batting .280 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .370 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Giants hitters have 128 strikeouts in 492 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .390 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Giants hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 25 of 358 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 15 double plays in 263 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 23 of 412 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 9 of 215 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 115 of 1,804 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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