Phillies vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodriguez reacts after the umpires confirmed a challenged call, ruling him out for fan interference on a foul ball during the eighth inning of the team's baseball game against the Oakland Athletics, Tuesday, May 23, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Caean Couto)
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Phillies are -115 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Phillies vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
  • Phillies / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on August 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are ATS.

Phillies vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 10-4, 2.94 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 10-7, 3.36 ERA

Phillies vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +155O 6.5 +105-115
Mariners +1.5 -190U 6.5 -125-105

Phillies vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.60 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Justin Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+12.60 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+4.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mariners vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +280
Bryce Harper +425
Cal Raleigh +425
Dominic Canzone +450
Randy Arozarena +550

Mariners vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Arraez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Trea Turner 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Alec Bohm 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Josh Naylor 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Mariners vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Kyle Schwarber 1.5 -210 1.5 +155
Bryson Stott 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Cole Young 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Justin Crawford 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Phillies are 14-47 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 10-51 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 18-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mariners are just 18-21 (.462) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 13-30 (.302) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Phillies (15th fewest runs allowed).

The Mariners are just 22-31 (.415) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (10th in runs scored).

The Mariners are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.233 (911 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have 120 extra-base hits out of 239 total hits (50%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .724 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .481 (2,643 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .217 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .229 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 82 extra-base hits out of 298 total hits (just 28%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .375 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .281 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (3,053 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.