Phillies vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 26

Seattle Mariners' Cal Raleigh walks to first base during the third inning of a baseball game against the Chicago Cubs in Chicago, Sunday, June 22, 2025.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Phillies vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Phillies / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+110) on August 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are ATS.

Phillies vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 11-5, 3.36 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 9-8, 4.11 ERA

Phillies vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +140O 7 -118-135
Mariners +1.5 -170U 7 -102+110

Phillies vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.60 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Justin Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+10.60 Units / 118% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mariners vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +210
Bryce Harper +325
Randy Arozarena +360
Cal Raleigh +390
Julio Rodriguez +425

Mariners vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trea Turner 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Bryce Harper 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Alec Bohm 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Mariners vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Taylor Ward 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Leo Rivas 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Cole Young 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Phillies are 6-54 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 18-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 41-5 (.891) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Phillies are 18-40 (.310) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mariners are just 2-59 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 22-31 (.415) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (10th in runs scored).

The Mariners are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Mariners are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have 120 extra-base hits out of 242 total hits (50%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .658 (2,438 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.227 (923 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are just 16-31 (.340) against the run line (-25.7% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mariners (29th in runs scored).

The Mariners are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .477 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .222 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .281 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (3,053 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.