- The – are favorites vs the –
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Thursday, June 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Phillies vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 25-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 21-35 ATS.
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | O | ||
| Mets | U |
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 75.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+14.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 41 games (+14.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+13.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+12.75 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
| Taijuan Walker | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 21-34 against the Run Line (-20 Units / -27.87% ROI).
- 25-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -17.31% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -12.32% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 4.59% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 21-35 against the Run Line (-17.25 Units / -24.49% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -14.09% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -10.11% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 1.15% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .375 (9-for-24) against Taijuan Walker — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — fifth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strikeout rate of just 9% (4 SO in 47 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — fourth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 55% (331/598) on sliders since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 57% (161/283) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .224 (263 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (93/225) against Max Scherzer with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (84/290) against Max Scherzer in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (148/468) against Max Scherzer since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are just 7-15 (.318) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 35-22 (.614) after a home win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Phillies are just 25-34 (.424) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mets are 115-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are 110-31 (.780) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Mets are 110-6 (.948) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.4 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.
Phillies hitters have drawn 37 walks in 656 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of just 35% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .261 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have just 1,637 strikeouts in 8,325 PA’s (20%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have just 132 strikeouts in 681 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have put 41% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 21 double plays in 366 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Phillies have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 221 of 3,335 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Alec Bohm (Phillies): Hamstring, D10
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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