• The Phillies are -155 favorites vs the Mets
• Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Phillies / Mets TV Channel: NSPA | SNY

The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+130) on June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Phillies are 46-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 33-48 ATS.

Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 6-4, 4.00 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Cionel Perez 3-3, 5.05 ERA

Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.30 Units / 288% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.30 Units / 59% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 55% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+17.40 Units / 174% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.27 Units / 40% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+5.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 24 games at home (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-51 against the Run Line (-24.25 Units / -25.03% ROI).

• 46-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.25% ROI
• 35-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -14.47% ROI
• 44-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 6.48% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 33-48 against the Run Line (-14.15 Units / -14.42% ROI).

• 35-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.9 Units / -25.07% ROI
• 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -5.74% ROI
• 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.51% ROI

Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are 5-34 (.128) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Phillies are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Phillies are 10-33 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Phillies are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .942.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 17-6 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Mets are just 31-42 (.425) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Mets are just 10-44 (.185) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .218 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .281 (1,536 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .222 (1,679 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .303 (2,076 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .594 (947 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .673 (3,088 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 0.89 runs per game (74/83) in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 74 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,043 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 160 times this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus the bottom of the order this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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