- The Phillies are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Phillies starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Nationals starting pitcher: Joan Adon
- Watch the game on MASN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on Friday, August 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 66-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 67-55 ATS.
Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -105 | O 9 -115 | -165 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -115 | U 9 -105 | +135 |
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 79.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+18.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+15.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+11.05 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Stone Garrett has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+11.75 Units / 98% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Rutherford | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Rutherford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Rutherford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joan Adon | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 away games (+7.09 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 120 games (+5.77 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 51 away games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+14.75 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 116 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.54 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+2.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 51-70 against the Run Line (-27.6 Units / -18.15% ROI).
- 66-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -3.96% ROI
- 48-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.1 Units / -14.42% ROI
- 61-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.65 Units / 6.57% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 67-55 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 3.47% ROI).
- 55-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.2 Units / 13.79% ROI
- 55-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -8.42% ROI
- 60-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.19% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joan Adon has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 12 innings — Jakob Junis has the longest active streak at 14.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies are 24-101 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Phillies are 28-8 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Phillies are 6-48 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Phillies are 72-39 (.649) after a win as favorites since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals are just 34-58 (.370) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Nationals are just 32-150 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Nationals are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 33-61 (.351) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Phillies hitters are slugging .607 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Phillies are batting .261 at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .902 (880 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.106.
The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) against the run line (-63.6% ROI) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Nationals hitters have just 591 strikeouts in 3,100 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 2,091 strikeouts in 10,596 PA’s (20%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (2,987 batted balls) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .237 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Mason Thompson (Nationals): Knee, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Nail, Day-to-Day
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Brandon Marsh (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
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