- The Phillies are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sánchez
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
- Watch the game on MASN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+130) on Saturday, August 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 66-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 68-55 ATS.
Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +100 | O 9 +100 | -155 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | U 9 -120 | +130 |
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+17.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+16.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in his last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+12.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Stone Garrett has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.75 Units / 83% ROI)
- Stone Garrett has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.75 Units / 70% ROI)
Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Michael Chavis | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Jake Irvin | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 away games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 52 away games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 away games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+5.24 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 121 games (+4.77 Units / 3% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+16.25 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 117 games (+10.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.54 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 51-71 against the Run Line (-28.7 Units / -18.73% ROI).
- 66-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 49-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.1 Units / -13.55% ROI
- 61-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 5.69% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 68-55 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 4.12% ROI).
- 56-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.7 Units / 14.87% ROI
- 56-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -7.61% ROI
- 60-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -0.64% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .095 (4 GB hits out of 42 GBs) against Cristopher Sanchez with runners on base this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (95/163) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (204/426) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has induced opposing hitters to ground into 9 double plays in 41 opportunities (22%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin allowed a batting average of just .185 vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .311 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (sixth worst among qualified SPs)– ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (44/299) against Jake Irvin this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (84/385) against Jake Irvin this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 8% (16/195) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies are 24-102 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Phillies are 18-103 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Phillies are just 12-18 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are just 35-39 (.473) after a loss as favorites since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals are just 34-58 (.370) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Nationals are just 58-38 (.604) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Nationals are just 111-174 (.389) since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .869 (450 PA’s) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Phillies hitters are slugging .240 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Phillies hitters are slugging .490 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 595 strikeouts in 3,134 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have just 874 strikeouts in 4,637 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .899 (889 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.106.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies have won 48% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .239 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 38% against the Phillies pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Mason Thompson (Nationals): Knee, D15
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Nail, Day-to-Day
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Brandon Marsh (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
