Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 02, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Philadelphia Phillies (-185) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 25-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 34-22 ATS.

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 -115O 9 -115-185
Nationals +1.5 -105U 9 -105+150

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 76.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+17.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 42 games (+15.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+14.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Joey Meneses 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Alex Call 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Joey Meneses 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Alex Call 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -275 0.5 +195

Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 +110 0.5 -140
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Joey Meneses 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Alex Call 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josiah Gray 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Zack Wheeler 5.5 -130 5.5 +100
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.25 Units / 7% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 21-35 against the Run Line (-21.25 Units / -29.11% ROI).

  • 25-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -18.4% ROI
  • 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -13.76% ROI
  • 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 6.1% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 34-22 against the Run Line (+10.35 Units / 14.84% ROI).

  • 24-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 7.84% ROI
  • 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -7.61% ROI
  • 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.24% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

12 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 67 of 415 left-handed batters (16%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (55 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on fastballs away since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .375 — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 31 of 267 batters (12%) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Phillies are 15-14 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Phillies are just 7-15 (.318) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 20-83 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.

The Phillies are just 25-34 (.424) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.

The Nationals are just 25-120 (.172) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Nationals are just 22-3 (.880) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Nationals are just 12-23 (.343) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Phillies hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.5 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.

26% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .760 (3,881 PA’s) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.72 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Nationals hitters have just 397 strikeouts in 2,126 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 21 double plays in 370 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (118.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.7).

Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 5.49 (267.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.

Phillies pitchers have walked 222 of 3,343 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

team pitchers – home

Nationals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
  • Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
  • Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
  • José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
  • Alec Bohm (Phillies): Hamstring, D10
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
  • Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
  • Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.