- The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
- Watch the game on MASN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-185) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Phillies vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 25-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 34-22 ATS.
Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -115 | O 9 -115 | -185 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -105 | U 9 -105 | +150 |
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 76.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+17.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 42 games (+15.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+14.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Nationals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Zack Wheeler | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 21-35 against the Run Line (-21.25 Units / -29.11% ROI).
- 25-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -18.4% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -13.76% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 6.1% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 34-22 against the Run Line (+10.35 Units / 14.84% ROI).
- 24-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 7.84% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -7.61% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.24% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 67 of 415 left-handed batters (16%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (55 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on fastballs away since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .375 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has walked 31 of 267 batters (12%) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies are 15-14 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Phillies are just 7-15 (.318) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 20-83 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Phillies are just 25-34 (.424) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Nationals are just 25-120 (.172) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Nationals are just 22-3 (.880) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Nationals are just 12-23 (.343) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.5 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.
26% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .760 (3,881 PA’s) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.72 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have just 397 strikeouts in 2,126 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 21 double plays in 370 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (118.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.7).
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 5.49 (267.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Phillies pitchers have walked 222 of 3,343 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Nationals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Alec Bohm (Phillies): Hamstring, D10
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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