• The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
• Phillies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Phillies / Nationals TV Channel: NSPA | NATV

The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+110) on June 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Phillies are 43-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 50-29 ATS.

Phillies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 3-4, 5.74 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 2-6, 5.45 ERA

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.90 Units / 227% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+16.70 Units / 167% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 61% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.70 Units / 117% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 50 games (+19.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+17.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+16.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 30-48 against the Run Line (-21.5 Units / -23.36% ROI).

• 43-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2% ROI
• 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -12.56% ROI
• 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 4.61% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 50-29 against the Run Line (+14.05 Units / 12.56% ROI).

• 41-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 13.92% ROI
• 48-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.5 Units / 18.75% ROI
• 29-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.55 Units / -26.75% ROI

Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Phillies are just 3-16 (.158) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.

The Phillies are 33-1 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Phillies are 29-2 (.935) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Phillies are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Nationals are just 17-23 (.425) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Nationals are just 32-9 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Nationals are 35-7 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Nationals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .214 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .634 (1,384 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,384 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .221 (1,598 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .792 (855 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 141 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 1.94 runs per game (155/80) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .274 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (1,949 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,949 balls in play) — best in MLB

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH (2,129 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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