• The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
• Phillies vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Phillies / Nationals TV Channel: NSPA | NATV

The Philadelphia Phillies (-185) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on June 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Phillies are 44-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 51-29 ATS.

Phillies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 9-3, 1.80 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 4-4, 4.08 ERA

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.90 Units / 186% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 51% ROI)
• Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.80 Units / 69% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 46% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jorbit Vivas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+23.50 Units / 588% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Dylan Crews has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+12.35 Units / 82% ROI)
• Nasim Nunez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 45 games (+18.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+16.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 30-49 against the Run Line (-22.5 Units / -24.18% ROI).

• 44-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -1.12% ROI
• 34-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -13.65% ROI
• 42-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 5.69% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 51-29 against the Run Line (+15.05 Units / 13.27% ROI).

• 41-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 12.57% ROI
• 48-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.4 Units / 17.28% ROI
• 30-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.55 Units / -25.29% ROI

Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Phillies are 5-33 (.132) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Phillies are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Phillies are 8-33 (.195) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Phillies are just 4-16 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .358.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Nationals are just 32-10 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Nationals are 35-7 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Nationals are just 17-24 (.415) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Nationals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,421 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .214 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .221 (1,618 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .635 (1,421 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting just .200 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .793 (863 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 141 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .425 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (1,972 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 40 double plays in 602 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH this season (2,158 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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