- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
- Phillies vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+120) on August 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Phillies are 57-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 56-52 ATS.
Phillies vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 13-4, 2.72 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-9, 3.95 ERA
Phillies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -110 | -145 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -110 | +120 |
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.45 Units / 66% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.10 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.32 Units / 162% ROI)
- Shane Baz has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)
- Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 41-67 against the Run Line (-33.05 Units / -25.58% ROI).
- 57-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -5.33% ROI
- 46-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -15.56% ROI
- 59-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.9 Units / 7.44% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 56-52 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 1.06% ROI).
- 53-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -5.76% ROI
- 57-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.36% ROI
- 49-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -11.1% ROI
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Phillies are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are 44-2 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Phillies are 8-48 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Phillies are 5-49 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Orioles are 10-44 (.185) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Orioles are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .285 (2,062 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging .758 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.261 (729 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .448 (2,228 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .180 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .481 (2,271 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.23 (253.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Orioles have won 45% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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