• The Phillies are -105 favorites vs the Orioles
• Phillies vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Phillies / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on July 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.

Phillies vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Tim Mayza 2-3, 3.89 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 8-2, 3.17 ERA

Phillies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Phillies are 12-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Phillies are 5-48 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Phillies are just 5-21 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .368.

The Phillies are 8-47 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Orioles are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging .760 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .446 (2,208 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .647 (2,026 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .221 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .132 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,074 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,647 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 2.79 runs per game (304/109) in the first 5 innings this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.23 (253.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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