- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies starting pitcher: Michael Plassmeyer, 0.00 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Philadelphia Phillies (+145) visit Ed Smith Stadium to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Sarasota.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Phillies vs Orioles Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Phillies are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 2-5 ATS.
Phillies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -120 | O 10.5 +100 | +145 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +100 | U 10.5 -120 | -175 |
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 away games (+2.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 61 away games (+24.08 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 129 games (+16.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 away games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.83 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 128 games (+7.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 142 games (+28.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 142 games (+22.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games at home (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -3.31% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 13.79% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 24.46% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -33.33% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 2-5 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -45.83% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -33.14% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 9.68% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -17.53% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Plassmeyer has limited playing time.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Phillies are 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies are 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Phillies are 72-5 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Orioles are 69-25 (.734) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Orioles are 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Orioles are 14-68 (.171) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Orioles are 65-3 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters slugged .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .338 (1,760 PA’s) against LHP last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Phillies batted .266 against LHP last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .333 (4,323 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters had an OPS of just .534 (259 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Orioles hitters have 909 strikeouts in 3,781 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .232 (6,578 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .256 against Phillies pitchers with the shift last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .248 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of the 2021 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 185 of 2,843 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Phillies vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
