- The Padres are -125 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Padres TV Channel: NSPA | PDTV
The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-125) on May 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are ATS.
Phillies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 2-4, 6.09 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 5-2, 2.97 ERA
Phillies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -120 | +105 |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | U 8 +100 | -125 |
Phillies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+19.50 Units / 195% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Miguel Andujar has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+5.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Padres vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | +230 |
| Bryce Harper | +390 |
| Manny Machado | +425 |
| Gavin Sheets | +425 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | +475 |
Padres vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Andujar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Padres vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
| Randy Vasquez | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Phillies are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Phillies are 5-25 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Phillies are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Phillies are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Padres are 4-21 (.160) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Padres are 18-1 (.947) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Padres are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .754.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting just .212 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .216 (1,070 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .628 (912 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging just .349 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .602 (417 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .606 (1,148 PA’s) with bases empty this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Padres are batting just .219 this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters are slugging just .321 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (1,342 balls in play) — best in MLB
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (1,342 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 84 times this season — fewest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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