• The Pirates are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
• Phillies vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Phillies / Pirates TV Channel: NSPA | SNPT

The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) on May 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Phillies are 21-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 24-19 ATS.

Phillies vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 2-3, 5.19 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 2-2, 2.76 ERA

Phillies vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Justin Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+20.00 Units / 500% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.60 Units / 57% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.35 Units / 46% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 106% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+19.85 Units / 79% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+17.00 Units / 189% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.65 Units / 54% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+11.30 Units / 126% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.80 Units / 140% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 12-32 against the Run Line (-23.1 Units / -45.34% ROI).

• 21-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -13.87% ROI
• 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.1% ROI
• 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -8.1% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 24-19 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 9.31% ROI).

• 24-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.69% ROI
• 24-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 5.5% ROI
• 19-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -14.97% ROI

Pirates vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Phillies are just 0-12 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Phillies are just 3-13 (.188) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (sixth in runs scored).

The Phillies are 11-3 (.786) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .624.

The Phillies are just 3-9 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Pirates are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Pirates are 22-3 (.880) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Pirates are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Pirates are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .601 (752 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .461 (111 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .219 (873 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .270 (752 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates are batting .282 at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 25 extra-base hits out of 105 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting just .217 on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Pirates pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .222 against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 34 home runs this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Phillies vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.