- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Watch the game on FOX
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Phillies vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 0-0 ATS.
Phillies vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 +100 | -125 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -120 | +105 |
Phillies vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 65.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.05 Units / 203% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rangers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Rangers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Rangers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
| Eovaldi | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 61 away games (+24.08 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.83 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 180 games (+2.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 82 games at home (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 114% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 163 games (+3.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (189 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.4
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,694/3,826) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (624/1,458) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.3 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (459 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.4
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (26/174) versus Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi allowed an OBP of just .229 (96 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi allowed an OBP of just .208 (96 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 28 of 792 batters (4%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
keys to the game – away
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
keys to the game – home
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters slugged .567 against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Rangers hitters have drawn 266 walks in 3,722 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,722 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers in 2022 — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 186 of 2,865 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .256 against Phillies pitchers with the shift in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers walked 581 of 6,167 batters (9%) in 2022 — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Leg, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D15
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies): Left Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
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