- The Phillies (36-32) are +100 favorites vs the Rangers (31-35)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (4-2), 4.03 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (4-2), 2.10 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Philadelphia Phillies (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Tuesday, June 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Phillies vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 36-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 39-27 ATS.
Phillies vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 +100 | +100 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -120 | -120 |
Phillies vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 69.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Rangers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rangers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Rangers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Rangers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 34-34 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.18% ROI).
- 36-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -2.75% ROI
- 39-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 12.43% ROI
- 27-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -20.93% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 39-27 against the Run Line (+8 Units / 9.18% ROI).
- 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.9% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -6.78% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.17% ROI
Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has struck out just 14% (19/132) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .340 (16-for-47) against Kyle Gibson with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of 26% (15 SO in 58 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (14/83) against Kyle Gibson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .153 (9-for-59) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 96th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .186 (11 Total Bases / 59 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .422 — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .317 (20 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .564 — 96th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 20% (14 SO in 70 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — fourth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Phillies are 8-24 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .073.
The Phillies are 7-23 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Phillies are just 25-4 (.862) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Phillies are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rangers are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Rangers are 17-3 (.850) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Rangers are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are 6-26 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are 8-24 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .073.
Phillies hitters are slugging .421 this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Phillies hitters are slugging .440 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .785 (805 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 180 walks in 2,646 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (10,547 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,646 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (4,318 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .278 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .254 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .263 against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 60 of 589 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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