• The Phillies are -110 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Phillies vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Phillies / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-110) on May 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are ATS.

Phillies vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 3-3, 5.78 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 2-2, 2.84 ERA

Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.30 Units / 69% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+10.05 Units / 100% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 94% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.20 Units / 40% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+15.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Phillies are just 0-12 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Phillies are just 3-9 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.

The Phillies are 11-3 (.786) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .624.

The Phillies are just 8-14 (.364) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Red Sox are just 2-13 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.

The Red Sox are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Red Sox are 14-1 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Red Sox are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .601 (713 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .220 (849 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .269 (713 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .336 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .326 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .644 (1,200 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.86 runs per game (36/42) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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