Phillies vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Phillies (63-51) are -175 favorites vs the Reds (45-68)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (6-8), 3.95 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (1-9), 6.24 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+145) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Phillies vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 63-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 53-60 ATS.

Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 -110O 9 -105-175
Reds +1.5 -110U 9 -115+145

Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 47 away games (+13.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 70% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 away games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+10.10 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)

Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Aristides Aquino 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Donovan Solano 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jake Fraley 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Joey Votto 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Aristides Aquino 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Jake Fraley 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Joey Votto 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jose Barrero 0.5 -140 0.5 +100

Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Aristides Aquino 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Donovan Solano 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jake Fraley 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Joey Votto 0.5 +120 0.5 -175

Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Minor 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
Noah Syndergaard 4.5 -155 4.5 +105
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 109 games (+12.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 85 games (+13.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 87 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 87 games (+4.55 Units / 5% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 60-54 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 3.82% ROI).

  • 63-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 2.9% ROI
  • 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.47% ROI
  • 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -5.74% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-60 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -9.08% ROI).

  • 45-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -9% ROI
  • 57-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.48% ROI
  • 54-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -7.21% ROI

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 22 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 27 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .065 (2 GB hits out of 31 GBs) against Noah Syndergaard with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 98th Percentile.

Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (39/145) against Mike Minor this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Mike Minor has allowed an OPS of 1.024 (212 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 0 Percentile.

Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .564 (141 Total Bases / 250 ABs) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.

26 of Mike Minor’s 81 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are 13-39 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Phillies are 11-39 (.220) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Phillies are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 31-25 (.554) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are just 34-7 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Reds are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 10-53 (.159) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Reds are just 9-30 (.231) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

Phillies hitters are slugging .667 against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.093 (61 PA’s) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .426 (61 PA’s) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .479 (183 PA’s) on the road this month (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.

The Reds are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .287 (515 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Reds hitters are slugging just .331 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 42% at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .258 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .219.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH since the start of last season (6,673 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 63 double plays in 883 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,045 of 10,562 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have walked 428 of 4,363 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Reds vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.