- The – (80-35) are favorites vs the – (80-35)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez (8-5), 3.52 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-4), 4.72 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Philadelphia Phillies () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Phillies vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 65-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 54-61 ATS.
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 56.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 49 away games (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+13.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 45 away games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 78% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+8.10 Units / 67% ROI)
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Austin Romine | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Austin Romine | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Romine | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Ranger Suarez | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 66 games (+19.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 64 of their last 111 games (+14.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+12.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 away games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 87 games (+11.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games (+7.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 89 games (+6.10 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 61-55 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 3.66% ROI).
- 65-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 4.09% ROI
- 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.54% ROI
- 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -5.69% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 54-61 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -9.01% ROI).
- 45-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 58-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.55% ROI
- 55-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -7.13% ROI
Ranger Suárez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (17/133) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (114/597) against Ranger Suarez since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .236 (66 Total Bases / 280 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .421 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (122/207) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) versus the top of the order this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .319 — second Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has walked 8 of 46 batters (17%) this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .327 — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 45% of Nick Lodolo’s pitches (29/65) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Phillies are 11-39 (.220) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Phillies are 13-39 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Phillies are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 32-9 (.780) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Reds are just 34-7 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Reds are just 3-57 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Reds are just 9-32 (.220) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Reds are just 7-25 (.219) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .391 against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.115 (102 PA’s) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Phillies are 11-39 (.220) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .916 (179 PA’s) in the first 3 innings over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .284 (529 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .620 (1,994 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .678 (3,020 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH since the start of last season (6,723 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Phillies pitchers have walked 156 of 2,456 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,797 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,050 of 10,651 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 63 double plays in 899 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Reds pitchers have walked 433 of 4,452 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Marsh (Phillies): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D15
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