• The Reds are -145 favorites vs the Phillies
• Phillies vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Phillies / Reds TV Channel: ESPN

The Philadelphia Phillies (+118) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-145) on July 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Phillies are 51-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 48-41 ATS.

Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Alan Rangel 0-1, 3.38 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 10-1, 2.40 ERA

Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• Matt McLain has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.60 Units / 34% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 35-56 against the Run Line (-25.55 Units / -23.89% ROI).

• 51-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -0.85% ROI
• 39-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.8 Units / -14.59% ROI
• 49-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.45 Units / 6.39% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 48-41 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -4.08% ROI).

• 41-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -7.53% ROI
• 51-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.95 Units / 8.98% ROI
• 38-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -17.9% ROI

Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are 5-38 (.116) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Phillies are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Phillies are just 5-18 (.217) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.

The Phillies are 11-36 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are 5-42 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 5-26 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Reds are just 20-25 (.444) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,729 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .222 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .650 (1,729 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.259 (614 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .206 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .218 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .227 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (2,256 balls in play) — best in MLB

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.76 (217.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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