• The Phillies are -165 favorites vs the Reds
• Phillies vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Phillies / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-165) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on July 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Phillies are 51-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 49-41 ATS.

Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 7-4, 3.75 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 3-8, 5.05 ERA

Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+13.40 Units / 134% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Justin Crawford has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+13.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+9.60 Units / 96% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+1.95 Units / 3% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 35-57 against the Run Line (-27.2 Units / -25.05% ROI).

• 51-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.58% ROI
• 40-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -13.44% ROI
• 49-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 5.34% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 49-41 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -2.93% ROI).

• 42-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -6.45% ROI
• 52-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.95 Units / 9.86% ROI
• 38-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -18.72% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Phillies are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Phillies are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Phillies are 11-37 (.229) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Phillies are 35-4 (.897) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Reds are 5-42 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 7-39 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Reds are just 14-89 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,771 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .752 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .226 (1,904 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .213 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,636 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,279 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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