- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Rockies
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Friday, May 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Phillies vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 18-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 18-20 ATS.
Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | O 11 -105 | -135 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | U 11 -115 | +110 |
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 49% ROI)
Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Taijuan Walker | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 60% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 15-22 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -25.2% ROI).
- 18-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -11.29% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -8.73% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.59% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 18-20 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -9.42% ROI).
- 16-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.49% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -20.16% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 11.81% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (3/36) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to April 19th — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 9.
Taijuan Walker has allowed three-ball counts to 29% of batters they faced (23/79 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 19% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 94 of Taijuan Walker’s 443 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has a strike rate of just 58% (263/454) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (2-for-16) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .362 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (5/42) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Austin Gomber has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (390/681) since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are 18-73 (.198) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Phillies are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Phillies are just 1-14 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Phillies are 14-74 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 53-27 (.662) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Rockies are just 42-36 (.538) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Rockies are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .893.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
The Phillies are batting .281 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .342 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Phillies hitters are slugging .419 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 6.33 (159.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The Phillies have allowed 6.21 runs per game (118/19) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 14 double plays in 235 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 42 of 329 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 167 of 1,760 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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