- The Phillies are -155 favorites vs the Rockies
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Phillies vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 18-21 ATS.
Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -105 | O 11.5 -110 | -155 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | U 11.5 -110 | +125 |
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 63.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 51% ROI)
Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -175 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Garrett Stubbs | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
| Ranger Suarez | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 44% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 16-22 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -22.55% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -9.13% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -11.35% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 3.94% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 18-21 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -11.98% ROI).
- 16-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.89% ROI
- 16-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -22.35% ROI
- 23-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 13.91% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (98/156) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 61% (1,267/2,080) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 59% (322/547) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (265/473) against Ranger Suarez since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OBP of .577 (26 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has walked 16 of 98 batters (16%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (6/41) against Ryan Feltner on low breaking pitches this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (8-for-62) against Ryan Feltner’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 99th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are just 1-14 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Phillies are 14-74 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Phillies are just 1-8 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Phillies are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 53-27 (.662) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Rockies are just 42-37 (.532) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .284 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
28% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Phillies hitters have 38 strikeouts in 113 PA’s (34%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 118 of 1,764 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 24 of 333 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Phillies have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 42 of 338 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 167 of 1,769 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Realmuto (Phillies): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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