Phillies vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

Kansas City Royals' Bobby Witt Jr. during a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies in Kansas City, Mo., Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
  • The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Royals
  • Phillies vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Phillies / Royals TV Channel: NSPA | BSKC | MLBN

The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Phillies are 74-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 73-55 ATS.

Phillies vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 10-5, 2.89 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-8, 3.18 ERA

Phillies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +140O 9.5 -115-115
Royals +1.5 -165U 9.5 -105-105

Phillies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+24.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+16.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 113 games (+9.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 111 games (+5.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 78 games (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+13.99 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 65 games at home (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 63-65 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -3.34% ROI).

  • 74-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -2.17% ROI
  • 59-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -8.36% ROI
  • 64-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.89% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 73-55 against the Run Line (+10.29 Units / 5.98% ROI).

  • 72-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 7.35% ROI
  • 58-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -9.42% ROI
  • 65-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.53% ROI

Royals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650

Royals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Bryson Stott (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Royals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Royals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer (KC) 4.5 -140 4.5 +105
Ranger Suarez (PHI) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (229/382) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (131/226) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .145 (8-for-55) against Ranger Suarez’s elevated fastball this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .216 — 95th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 62% (3,282/5,295) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .192 vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 94th Percentile and .289 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 56% of the time (372/660) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .356 (483 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — sixth Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed an OPS of just .512 (262 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 98th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Phillies are 17-11 (.607) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

The Phillies are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 26-23 (.531) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Royals are 26-37 (.413) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Royals are just 14-72 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

The Royals are just 23-101 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Royals are just 36-17 (.679) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,167 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Phillies are batting .265 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Phillies are batting .274 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .786 (3,418 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

Royals hitters have just 673 strikeouts in 3,638 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are slugging .265 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,256 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals hitters have just 193 strikeouts in 1,107 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .235 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Royals have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Royals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
  • Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.