• The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
• Phillies vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Phillies / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on July 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Phillies are 52-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-45 ATS.

Phillies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 10-4, 2.61 ERA
• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 4-5, 2.64 ERA

Phillies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 48% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.80 Units / 118% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+16.50 Units / 330% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+14.40 Units / 96% ROI)
• Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+2.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+15.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 44% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 35-59 against the Run Line (-30.25 Units / -27.09% ROI).

• 52-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -1.55% ROI
• 41-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -13.17% ROI
• 50-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 5.13% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 44-45 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -2.19% ROI).

• 44-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -10.95% ROI
• 41-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.85 Units / -12.37% ROI
• 49-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 4.23% ROI

Tigers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Phillies are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Phillies are 5-40 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Phillies are 11-38 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Phillies are 37-1 (.974) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Tigers are just 36-13 (.735) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Tigers are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Tigers are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,841 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .459 (1,937 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.244 (634 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .300 (1,113 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers have a winning percentage of just 37% on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,316 balls in play) — best in MLB

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Tigers have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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