- The Phillies are -102 favorites vs the Tigers
- Phillies vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Phillies / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-102) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-118) on July 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Phillies are 53-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-46 ATS.
Phillies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 9-1, 2.28 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 5-4, 3.04 ERA
Phillies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +170 | O 7 -110 | -102 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -210 | U 7 -110 | -118 |
Phillies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.75 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+21.90 Units / 219% ROI)
- Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+2.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 37% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 36-59 against the Run Line (-29.05 Units / -25.79% ROI).
- 53-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -0.82% ROI
- 41-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -14.08% ROI
- 51-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.35 Units / 6.02% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 44-46 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -3.31% ROI).
- 44-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 41-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -13.29% ROI
- 50-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 5.14% ROI
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Phillies are 5-40 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Phillies are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Phillies are 11-38 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .135.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers are just 36-13 (.735) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Tigers are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are 23-8 (.742) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .632.
The Tigers are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .224 (1,957 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,586 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .646 (1,876 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .459 (1,957 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 13% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Tigers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,342 balls in play) — best in MLB
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .281 (841 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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