Phillies vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

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Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Phillies vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Phillies / Tigers TV Channel: NSPA | BSDT

The Philadelphia Phillies (-185) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+150) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Phillies are 51-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 35-42 ATS.

Phillies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 8-3, 3.58 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-5, 4.42 ERA

Phillies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 -110O 8 -105-185
Tigers +1.5 -110U 8 -115+150

Phillies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Phillies vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+20.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+15.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games at home (+22.10 Units / 184% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+13.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 62 games (+22.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 60 games (+21.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 59 games (+18.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games (+17.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games (+14.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 42-35 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 7.55% ROI).

  • 51-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.6 Units / 10.7% ROI
  • 33-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.15 Units / -11.96% ROI
  • 39-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 2.9% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 35-42 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -11.22% ROI).

  • 36-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 40-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 6.99% ROI
  • 31-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -16.02% ROI

Tigers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Tigers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
David Dahl (PHI) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brandon Marsh (PHI) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Tigers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
David Dahl (PHI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Tigers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Nola (PHI) 5.5 -165 5.5 +125
Casey Mize (DET) 3.5 -140 3.5 +105

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (301/840) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (199/459) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .130 (15 GB hits out of 115 GBs) against Aaron Nola this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .192 (129-for-671) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 96th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 8% (3 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 25% (12 SO in 48 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 40% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (19/92) against Casey Mize on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .293 (12-for-41) against Casey Mize with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .172 — fourth Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Phillies are 8-16 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.

The Phillies are 4-20 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .059.

The Phillies are 45-5 (.900) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Phillies are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Tigers are 16-2 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

The Tigers are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.

The Tigers are 46-18 (.719) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .619.

The Tigers are just 90-110 (.450) at home since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .340 (990 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Phillies are batting .264 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Phillies hitters are slugging .448 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .333 (4,608 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Tigers are batting just .273 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.

The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,282 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .690 (2,014 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .119 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 198 of 2,847 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 674 of 8,920 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Tigers have won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Tigers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
  • Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
  • Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.