• The Phillies are -110 favorites vs the Twins
• Phillies vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Phillies / Twins TV Channel: NFLX

The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Field of Dreams to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on August 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Dyersville, IA.

This season, the Phillies are 64-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 67-54 ATS.

Phillies vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 3-9, 5.49 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 9-4, 3.76 ERA

Phillies vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• Justin Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.20 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-75 against the Run Line (-35.95 Units / -25.01% ROI).

• 64-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -6.34% ROI
• 53-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -11.12% ROI
• 62-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 3.1% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 67-54 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.44% ROI).

• 60-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.33% ROI
• 64-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.4 Units / 6.23% ROI
• 50-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.5 Units / -15.34% ROI

Twins vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 12-47 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Phillies were 51-9 (.850) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Phillies were 44-9 (.830) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Twins were just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging .720 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .651 (2,242 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .223 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .230 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .286 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .218 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .367 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,940 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.40 runs per game (335/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Twins pitchers this season traveled 421.0 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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