Phillies vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 17, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Philadelphia Phillies () visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox () on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Phillies vs White Sox Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 6-10 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-9 ATS.

Phillies vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies O
White Sox U

Phillies vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 74.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 13 games (+14.50 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Oscar Colas has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)

White Sox vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oscar Colas 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Yasmani Grandal 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

White Sox vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oscar Colas 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Yasmani Grandal 0.5 -125 0.5 -105

White Sox vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oscar Colas 0.5 +320 0.5 -450
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +320 0.5 -500
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +333 0.5 -500
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Yasmani Grandal 0.5 +270 0.5 -375

White Sox vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Wheeler 6.5 +115 6.5 -150
Lance Lynn 6.5 -110 6.5 -115
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 6-10 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -35.76% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -30.16% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 7.28% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -15.27% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -15.19% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -25.89% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 32.48% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -39.55% ROI

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (8/43) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (25/80) against Zack Wheeler on sliders this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 72.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season (244 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

67% of Zack Wheeler’s strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .789 (15 Total Bases / 19 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .923 (24 Total Bases / 26 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (16/44) against Lance Lynn this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (13/44) against Lance Lynn this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Phillies are 15-65 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 78-28 (.736) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Phillies are just 79-7 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The White Sox are just 9-65 (.122) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.

The White Sox are just 7-73 (.088) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The White Sox are 28-9 (.757) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The White Sox are 21-25 (.457) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

33% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

The Phillies are batting .231 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .171.

The Phillies are batting .316 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

Phillies hitters are slugging .302 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.

White Sox hitters have drawn 307 walks in 5,294 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 106 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .191 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.

White Sox hitters have 109 extra-base hits out of 351 total hits (just 31%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .261 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 113 opportunities (5%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Phillies pitchers have walked 70 of 621 batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The White Sox have allowed 2.44 runs per game (39/16) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 7.85 (55.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.

The White Sox have allowed 8.50 runs per game (51/6) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.68.

White Sox pitchers have walked 81 of 658 batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
  • Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
  • Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Quad, D10
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
  • Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Groin, D15
  • Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
  • Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
  • Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
  • Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies): Left Tricep, D15
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
  • Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.