- The Phillies are -115 favorites vs the White Sox
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Phillies vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 7-11 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 8-10 ATS.
Phillies vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Phillies vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.70 Units / 78% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.30 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 94% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
White Sox vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
White Sox vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
White Sox vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
White Sox vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Mike Clevinger | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.95 Units / 14% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -33.6% ROI).
- 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -27.23% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 6.27% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -14.25% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 8-10 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -11.54% ROI).
- 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -23.99% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 28.75% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -35.75% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (19/26) against Taijuan Walker in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 51% (50/98) when ahead in the count this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 57% of Taijuan Walker’s pitches in the zone (71/125) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 54% (285/525) on sliders since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Clevinger has a strike rate of just 55% (82/150) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has walked 8 of 36 left-handed batters (22%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 49% (25/51) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has a strike rate of just 59% (163/278) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Phillies are 15-66 (.185) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 12-67 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Phillies are 79-29 (.731) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The White Sox are just 9-48 (.158) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The White Sox are just 7-74 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The White Sox are 28-9 (.757) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The White Sox are 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
32% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .355 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Phillies are batting .301 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 111 extra-base hits out of 354 total hits (just 31%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .341 (3,455 PA’s) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The White Sox are batting just .144 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
White Sox hitters have drawn 307 walks in 5,327 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 124 opportunities (5%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 5.28 (155.0 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Phillies have allowed 6.17 runs per game (74/12) on the road this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.48.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have allowed 2.28 runs per game (41/18) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.78 (73.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 87 of 732 batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Quad, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Groin, D15
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies): Left Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
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