- The Phillies are -210 favorites vs the White Sox
- Phillies vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Phillies / White Sox TV Channel: NSPA | CHSN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+145) on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Phillies are 60-46 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 62-45 ATS.
Phillies vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 8-5, 4.61 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 4-7, 4.49 ERA
Phillies vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -102 | -175 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -110 | U 9 -118 | +145 |
Phillies vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 64.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Otto Kemp has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+10.40 Units / 173% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+35.00 Units / 583% ROI)
- Jonathan Cannon has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.25 Units / 87% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 71% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.25 Units / 60% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+14.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 54 away games (+13.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 88 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games at home (+17.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 83 games (+13.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 83 games (+13.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.14 Units / 19% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 52-53 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -2.86% ROI).
- 60-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -1.2% ROI
- 45-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.55 Units / -15.05% ROI
- 57-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 6.6% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 62-45 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 7.66% ROI).
- 39-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.91 Units / -9.22% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -9.98% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.9% ROI
White Sox vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
White Sox vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Otto Kemp (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
White Sox vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Jonathan Cannon (CWS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .287 (99-for-345) against Jesus Luzardo this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .405 (17-for-42) against Jesus Luzardo’s low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — fourth Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has a strike rate of just 62% (969/1,560) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a BABIP of .365 this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .280 — first Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jonathan Cannon has allowed a batting average of just .154 vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth best)– 89th Percentile and .400 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has allowed a slugging percentage of .606 (83 Total Bases / 137 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .387 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (7-for-18) against Jonathan Cannon when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 4th highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — eighth Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has allowed an OPS of .985 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .689 — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Phillies are 10-30 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies are 22-77 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Phillies are 27-18 (.600) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Phillies are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .880.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The White Sox are just 65-31 (.677) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The White Sox are just 68-19 (.782) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The White Sox are just 7-86 (.075) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The White Sox are just 77-160 (.325) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .393 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Phillies are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .765 (3,121 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Phillies hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .628 (7,285 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 30% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (7,285 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this month (21 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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