- The Phillies are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- Phillies vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Phillies / White Sox TV Channel: NSPA | CHSN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-140) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+115) on Wednesday, July 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Phillies are 61-46 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 62-46 ATS.
Phillies vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-5, 3.82 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 6-2, 2.13 ERA
Phillies vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +115 | O 9 -102 | -140 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -140 | U 9 -118 | +115 |
Phillies vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Otto Kemp has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.40 Units / 134% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+34.00 Units / 486% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 away games (+14.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 55 away games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 89 games (+9.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 away games (+5.70 Units / 11% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 55 games at home (+16.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 84 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 84 games (+12.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+7.99 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 53-53 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -2.07% ROI).
- 61-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -0.59% ROI
- 45-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.55 Units / -14.91% ROI
- 57-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 6.54% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 62-46 against the Run Line (+8.95 Units / 6.77% ROI).
- 39-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.91 Units / -10.06% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -9.89% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.89% ROI
White Sox vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
White Sox vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Otto Kemp (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mike Tauchman (CWS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
White Sox vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser (CWS) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (134 Total Bases / 207 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .436 — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker allowed an OPS of .977 (382 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has allowed an OPS of 1.036 (240 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .757 — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had an ERA of 7.10 (83.2 IP)in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 0 Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (26/184) against Adrian Houser this month (4 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Adrian Houser allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (40 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on breaking pitches in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .336 — second Percentile.
Adrian Houser struck out just 12% (19/155) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 12% (19/154) against Adrian Houser in the 2024 season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Phillies are 10-30 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies are 30-7 (.811) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Phillies are 22-77 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Phillies are 130-6 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The White Sox are just 68-19 (.782) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The White Sox are just 7-86 (.075) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 8-121 (.062) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .394 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .765 (3,126 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Phillies are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Phillies are batting .264 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters are slugging just .342 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (7,294 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 3.44 (478.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 14% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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