- The – are favorites vs the –
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on YES
The Philadelphia Phillies () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Phillies vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 3-2 ATS.
Phillies vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Phillies vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.05 Units / 203% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 99% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.65 Units / 122% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Yankees vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Yankees vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
| Gerrit Cole | 8.5 -150 | 8.5 +110 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 95 away games (+10.18 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 91 away games (+5.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 184 games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 91 games at home (+12.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games at home (+11.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 86 of their last 176 games (+5.50 Units / 2% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 90 of their last 176 games (+1.75 Units / 1% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -30.46% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -54.29% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 13.04% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -20.95% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 42% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -24.78% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 15.89% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 61% of the time (1,243/2,050) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .246 (17-for-69) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 36% (113/317) against Gerrit Cole when he was behind in the count in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 38% (357/935) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Phillies were 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies were just 22-28 (.440) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Phillies are just 15-21 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
keys to the game – home
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .535 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Phillies hitters slugged .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Phillies hitter’ K:BB ratio is 8.2 against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.4.
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .338 (1,760 PA’s) against LHP in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging just .219 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .200 (35 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.230 (1,149 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.069.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 42% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 188 of 2,906 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers in 2022 — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 6 of 152 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have still managed to win 47% of the time in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Brandon Marsh (Phillies): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies): Left Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Joshua Harrison (Phillies): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
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