- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Yankees Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Phillies / Yankees TV Channel: ATV
The Philadelphia Phillies (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Friday, July 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Phillies are 58-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 47-55 ATS.
Phillies vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-5, 3.74 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 6-5, 4.91 ERA
Phillies vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -155 | O 10 -105 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 10 -115 | -160 |
Phillies vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 82% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.90 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 away games (+15.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 26 away games (+15.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 84 games (+11.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 away games (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.77 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games at home (+4.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 50-51 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -2.81% ROI).
- 58-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.5% ROI
- 43-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.4 Units / -16.39% ROI
- 56-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.95 Units / 7.98% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 47-55 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -7.73% ROI).
- 56-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -9.05% ROI
- 45-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -11.05% ROI
- 53-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.57 Units / 3.16% ROI
Yankees vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
Yankees vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Yankees vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Will Warren (NYY) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker allowed a slugging percentage of .590 (200 Total Bases / 339 ABs) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (123 Total Bases / 208 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.
Taijuan Walker allowed an OPS of .977 (382 PA’s) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had an ERA of 7.10 (83.2 IP)in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Will Warren has allowed an OBP of .447 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.
Will Warren has allowed an OBP of .447 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — first Percentile.
Will Warren has allowed an OBP of .411 (90 PA’s) this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .299 — first Percentile.
Will Warren has allowed an OBP of .479 (48 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Phillies are 9-28 (.243) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .121.
The Phillies are 21-75 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .135.
The Phillies are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Phillies are 17-10 (.630) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Yankees (Ranks third runs scored) today.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Yankees are 61-32 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Phillies (Ranks seventh runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 24-11 (.686) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Phillies (Ranks seventh runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 98-66 (.598) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Phillies (Ranks seventh runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Phillies are batting .395 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .765 (3,093 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .327 (3,886 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .726 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this month (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this month (18 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 7.11 (100.0 IP) on the road this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
More MLB Reading:
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