- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
- Phillies vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Yankees TV Channel: YES | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+105) on Sunday, July 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Phillies are 60-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 47-57 ATS.
Phillies vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 9-3, 2.39 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 10-7, 3.11 ERA
Phillies vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -102 | -125 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 -118 | +105 |
Phillies vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+12.90 Units / 215% ROI)
- Johan Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.05 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+19.10 Units / 273% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 away games (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 52 away games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 28 away games (+12.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 86 games (+12.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 away games (+7.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games at home (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 52-51 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -1.03% ROI).
- 60-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 1.01% ROI
- 45-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -14.34% ROI
- 56-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.7 Units / 5.85% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 47-57 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -9.57% ROI).
- 56-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -10.47% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -9.08% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.32 Units / 1.14% ROI
Yankees vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Otto Kemp (PHI) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +110 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (608/883) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .151 (24-for-159) against Zack Wheeler’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .187 (86-for-459) against Zack Wheeler this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has a strikeout rate of 33% (164 SO in 491 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a in-zone of just 35% (219/618) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown just 46% of his pitches in the strike zone (929/2,040) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown just 34% of his pitches in the strike zone (255/753) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
36% of Carlos Rodon’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Phillies are 10-28 (.263) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .120.
The Phillies are 22-75 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Phillies are 19-10 (.655) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Yankees (Ranks third runs scored) today.
The Phillies are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Yankees are 61-34 (.642) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Phillies (Ranks eighth runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 24-13 (.649) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Phillies (Ranks eighth runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .395 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .329 (3,981 PA’s) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .331 (2,801 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Phillies are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .452 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 3.38 (453.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Phillies pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Yankees pitchers this month (20 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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