- The Angels are -190 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
- Watch the game on BSW
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-190) on Friday, July 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Pirates vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 42-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 45-52 ATS.
Pirates vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -125 | O 8 +100 | +155 |
| Angels | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -120 | -190 |
Pirates vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 77.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 33 games (+21.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+18.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+16.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Hits Under in his last 11 games (+12.25 Units / 90% ROI)
Angels vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Angels vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Angels vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
Angels vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +100 |
| Johan Oviedo | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -150 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 68 games (+18.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.65 Units / 42% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 44-52 against the Run Line (-21.15 Units / -16.56% ROI).
- 42-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -5.63% ROI
- 49-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 2.83% ROI
- 42-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -10.73% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 45-52 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -9.97% ROI).
- 49-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -6.24% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.68% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -5.47% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (269/475) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has a strikeout rate of 45% (9 SO in 20 PAs) in late innings this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .357 (15-for-42) against Johan Oviedo on low fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — seventh Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (259/435) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.051 at home this season — third best in MLB– 98th Percentile. Bryan Reynolds has an OPS of just .645 (170 PAs) at home this season — 12th worst in MLB– eighth Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .678 (246 total bases in 363 ABs) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .436 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .703 (187 total bases in 266 ABs) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .938 (60 total bases in 64 ABs) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .457 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Pirates are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Pirates are just 35-133 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Pirates are just 60-93 (.392) after a loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Pirates are just 99-134 (.425) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 31-14 (.689) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Angels are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .231 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,946 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .535 (327 PA’s) over the last 14 days (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .269 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Angels hitters have 1,766 strikeouts in 6,950 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have 2,411 strikeouts in 9,707 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters are slugging .490 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 926 of 9,923 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 317 of 3,664 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers this season traveled 454.0 feet — — 4th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 463.8
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 87 of 859 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 364 of 3,740 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 904 of 9,778 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Back, D10
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
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