- The Angels are -190 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Watch the game on BSW
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-190) on Saturday, July 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Pirates vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 42-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 46-52 ATS.
Pirates vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -120 | O 9 +100 | +155 |
| Angels | -1.5 +100 | U 9 -120 | -190 |
Pirates vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 74.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Over in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 34 games (+22.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+17.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+15.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Chad Wallach has hit the Hits Under in his last 11 games (+12.25 Units / 90% ROI)
Angels vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Angels vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Angels vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Angels vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games (+17.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.70 Units / 48% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 44-53 against the Run Line (-22.4 Units / -17.36% ROI).
- 42-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 50-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.74% ROI
- 42-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -11.65% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 46-52 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -9.05% ROI).
- 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -5.39% ROI
- 47-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.74% ROI
- 44-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -6.44% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .091 (2-for-22) against Ryan Borucki over the last 30 days (10 games) — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 94th Percentile.
Ryan Borucki has not walked a batter in his last 17.0 innings pitched — Austin Gomber has the longest active streak at 22.0.
Ryan Borucki has not walked any of the 44 batters that he has faced over the last 30 days (10 games) — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .368 (7-for-19) against Ryan Borucki over the last 30 days (8 games) — 10th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 10th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (99/341) against Reid Detmers on non-fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (60/181) against Reid Detmers this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed an OBP of .435 (85 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .324 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (15/53) against Reid Detmers over the last 30 days (4 games) — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Pirates are just 86-51 (.628) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Pirates are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Pirates are just 40-48 (.455) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Pirates are just 13-120 (.098) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels are just 14-67 (.173) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .369 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Pirates are batting just .189 on breaking pitches since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Pirates are batting just .227 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .269 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .777 (2,841 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,905 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Angels hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 931 of 9,959 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.80 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Pirates pitchers have walked 319 of 3,672 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 365 of 3,777 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Angels vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Back, D10
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
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