- The Angels are -120 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Watch the game on BSW
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-120) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Pirates vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 43-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 46-53 ATS.
Pirates vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -120 | +100 |
| Angels | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 +100 | -120 |
Pirates vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 56.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+21.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+16.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+13.00 Units / 108% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Angels vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Angels vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Angels vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Angels vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Mitch Keller | 7.5 +130 | 7.5 -165 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+18.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 45-53 against the Run Line (-21.4 Units / -16.44% ROI).
- 43-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -5.02% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 2.78% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -10.59% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 46-53 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -9.77% ROI).
- 50-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -6.61% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.62% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -5.44% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of just .557 (242 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .688 — 98th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .293 (65 Total Bases / 222 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 98th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has a strikeout rate of 36% (38 SO in 106 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (193/923) against Mitch Keller this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 15th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (127/394) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (309/1,101) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (25/83) against Tyler Anderson’s changeup this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (331/849) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 96th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Pirates are 39-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Pirates are just 48-81 (.372) on the road since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Pirates are just 20-28 (.417) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Pirates are just 105-154 (.405) since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Angels are just 19-16 (.543) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .227 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .173 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Pirates are batting just .188 on breaking pitches since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Pirates hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .269 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Angels hitters have 29 strikeouts in 81 PA’s (36%) against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (756 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .340 (936 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 934 of 9,994 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,540 of 16,134 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 42% of their games this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 368 of 3,815 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have walked 209 of 2,317 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 87 of 877 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Back, D10
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
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