• The Blue Jays are -170 favorites vs the Pirates
• Pirates vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Pirates / Blue Jays TV Channel: PEAC | RSN | TVA

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-170) on May 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Pirates are 26-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 26-25 ATS.

Pirates vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 4-2, 3.88 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 3-2, 2.99 ERA

Pirates vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Pirates vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• player  high – home

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 away games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 26-24 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 3.7% ROI).

• 26-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -6.32% ROI
• 27-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 4.41% ROI
• 22-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -13.41% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 26-25 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.46% ROI).

• 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -14.46% ROI
• 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -7.9% ROI
• 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.09% ROI

Blue Jays vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Pirates are 24-3 (.889) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Pirates are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Pirates are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Pirates are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Blue Jays are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Blue Jays are 19-71 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Blue Jays are 16-74 (.178) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 86-9 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 617 of their 2,051 plate appearances (30%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .358 (1,019 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .274 at home this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .344 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 47% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Pirates pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strike rate of 64% this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 19% of batters they faced (387/1,991 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 31% against the Pirates pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (1,221 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have 91 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 28 double plays in 379 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have struck out 26% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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