Pirates vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Braves (31-27) are -225 favorites vs the Pirates (24-31)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras (1-0), 1.929 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (1-2), 2.755 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSE

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Pirates vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 24-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 29-29 ATS.

Pirates vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -110O 8 +100+180
Braves -1.5 -110U 8 -120-225

Pirates vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s matchup with 72.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.65 Units / 144% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.40 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.50 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+14.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+13.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+11.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+8.25 Units / 103% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+6.60 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+6.20 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.97 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.55 Units / 8% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 26-29 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -10.12% ROI).

  • 24-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 4.95% ROI
  • 21-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -17.49% ROI
  • 29-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 9.39% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 29-29 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -2.65% ROI).

  • 31-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -5.48% ROI
  • 31-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 7.48% ROI
  • 24-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -15.58% ROI

Roansy Contreras has allowed an OBP of just .190 (21 PA’s) versus the heart of the order — 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .308 — 90th Percentile.

Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Strider has a strike rate of 76% (132/173) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has struck out 42% (25/60) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 42% (38 SO in 90 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 54% (46/86) against Spencer Strider with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Pirates are just 70-17 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

The Pirates are just 19-2 (.905) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Pirates are 10-3 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Pirates are just 23-27 (.460) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Braves are just 25-5 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Braves are 26-8 (.765) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Braves are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .664 (2,359 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .647 (3,936 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .362 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .223 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

Braves hitters are slugging .478 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Braves hitters have 201 extra-base hits out of 459 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves hitters have 243 extra-base hits out of 566 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Braves hitters have 73 extra-base hits out of 150 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 242 of 2,400 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 183 of 1,884 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 202 of 2,110 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 44 of 485 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Braves pitchers have walked 49 of 520 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Braves pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Braves vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Collin McHugh (Braves): Undisclosed, D10
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Undisclosed, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
  • Richard Hembree (Pirates): Right Calf, D15
  • Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
  • Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.