Pirates vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 24

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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  • The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Pirates vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Pirates / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | SNPT | ESUN

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+110) on April 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Pirates are 14-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 15-9 ATS.

Pirates vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 3-1, 3.28 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 2-0, 3.47 ERA

Pirates vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 +140O 7 -110-135
Brewers +1.5 -170U 7 -110+110

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+14.65 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Paul Skenes has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+10.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 15-10 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 13.51% ROI).

  • 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 5.78% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 6.34% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -16.24% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 15-9 against the Run Line (+7.75 Units / 26.91% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -5.66% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 10.45% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -19.77% ROI

Brewers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Brandon Lowe +270
Oneil Cruz +333
Marcell Ozuna +350
Ryan O'Hearn +450
Gary Sanchez +450

Brewers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Oneil Cruz 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Brewers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Henry Davis 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
David Hamilton 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
William Contreras 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Spencer Horwitz 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Pirates were just 6-50 (.107) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Pirates are 9-1 (.900) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Pirates are just 14-93 (.131) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

The Pirates are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Brewers are 82-9 (.901) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Brewers are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Brewers were 97-65 (.599) in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .602 (2,128 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .596 (1,843 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,707 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers batted .268 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Pirates won just 13% of the time in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates allowed 3.68 runs per game (298/81) at home in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 8 runners this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.64 (1654.1 IP) since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.64 (3100.2 IP) since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.