- The Brewers are -140 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | SNP+
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-140) on April 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.
Pirates vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 2-1, 2.83 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 1-2, 3.00 ERA
Pirates vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +115 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -140 |
Pirates vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 away games (+13.65 Units / 152% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Lockridge has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.60 Units / 96% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Pirates are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Pirates are just 34-60 (.362) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Pirates are just 14-93 (.131) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Pirates are just 5-9 (.357) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Brewers are 82-9 (.901) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers are just 8-4 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Brewers are 39-10 (.796) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Brewers are 31-25 (.554) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Pirates (11th in runs allowed).
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .626 (3,544 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,544 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .411 (284 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (238.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .336 this season — best in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have picked-off 8 runners this season — most in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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