• The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Pirates
• Pirates vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Pirates / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | SNPT | ESUN

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on April 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Pirates are 16-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 15-11 ATS.

Pirates vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 1-1, 3.29 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 1-1, 3.18 ERA

Pirates vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Pirates vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+12.65 Units / 126% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.75 Units / 71% ROI)
• Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• Nick Yorke has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+15.60 Units / 195% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.75 Units / 76% ROI)
• Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.20 Units / 92% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 17-10 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 19.61% ROI).

• 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 12.03% ROI
• 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 5.54% ROI
• 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -15.37% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 15-11 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 15.66% ROI).

• 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -12.66% ROI
• 15-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 9.31% ROI
• 11-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -18.58% ROI

Brewers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Pirates are just 0-6 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

The Pirates are just 1-88 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Pirates are 73-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Pirates are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Brewers are 82-9 (.901) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Brewers are 24-2 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Brewers are just 2-11 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Brewers are 32-26 (.552) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Pirates (seventh in runs scored).

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .625 (3,586 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .355 since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,586 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,707 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .315 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (248.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 8 runners this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 7 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 62% this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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