• The Brewers are -170 favorites vs the Pirates
• Pirates vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Pirates / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-170) on August 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Pirates are 57-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 59-53 ATS.

Pirates vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 2-2, 3.81 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Logan Henderson 5-1, 2.68 ERA

Pirates vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+14.20 Units / 95% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.35 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+9.30 Units / 133% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+14.00 Units / 156% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+13.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 57% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 55% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.00 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 56-55 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.63% ROI).

• 57-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -6.42% ROI
• 64-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.4 Units / 9.87% ROI
• 47-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.05 Units / -18.41% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 59-53 against the Run Line (+13.1 Units / 10.13% ROI).

• 69-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 5.3% ROI
• 49-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.95 Units / -14.54% ROI
• 61-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.45 Units / 6.05% ROI

Brewers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Pirates are just 5-30 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 1-47 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 24-32 (.429) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are 33-24 (.579) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Brewers are 9-34 (.209) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-32 (.256) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 69-43 (.616) this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-2 (.846) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates are batting .298 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .288 on fastballs this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .272 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .258 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .383 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,294 of their 4,345 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,345 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates have won just 28% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 59% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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