• The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Pirates
• Pirates vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Pirates / Brewers TV Channel: ESPN

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on August 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Pirates are 57-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 60-53 ATS.

Pirates vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 9-9, 3.93 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 8-2, 3.04 ERA

Pirates vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Pirates vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 79% ROI)
• Endy Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+8.50 Units / 85% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+13.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Cooper Pratt has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 48% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 56-56 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -1.84% ROI).

• 57-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -7.08% ROI
• 64-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.4 Units / 9% ROI
• 48-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.05 Units / -17.44% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 60-53 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 11.2% ROI).

• 70-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 5.86% ROI
• 49-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.95 Units / -15.23% ROI
• 62-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.45 Units / 6.8% ROI

Brewers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Pirates are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 24-33 (.421) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 1-48 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Brewers are 11-32 (.256) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 9-34 (.209) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-2 (.846) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 44-25 (.638) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,196 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,219 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .297 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .272 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .385 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,301 of their 4,382 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .295 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.45 (524.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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