• The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
• Pirates vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Pirates / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on August 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Pirates vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 11-4, 3.93 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Dustin May 5-7, 4.42 ERA

Pirates vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Pirates vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+15.70 Units / 196% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 77% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 57% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 68% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 84% ROI)
• Cooper Pratt has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+11.50 Units / 164% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 51% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 50% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+15.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+9.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Pirates are just 24-33 (.421) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 1-49 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 5-31 (.139) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Brewers are 9-34 (.209) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-32 (.256) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-2 (.846) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 71-43 (.623) this season — best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .343 (3,207 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,219 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .272 at home this season — tied for best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .386 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging .652 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .336 (4,415 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

The Pirates have allowed 1.65 runs per game (191/116) in late innings this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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