- The Cardinals are -155 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jacob Woodford
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-155) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 6-7 ATS.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -115 | +125 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -105 | -155 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 away games (+6.55 Units / 164% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.45 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 69% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.10 Units / 149% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 50% ROI)
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ji-man Choi | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ji-man Choi | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ji-man Choi | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Oviedo | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
| Jake Woodford | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 away games (+4.50 Units / 98% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in their last 4 away games (+4.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.65 Units / 91% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 79% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -4.76% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 44.4% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -10.18% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 4.18% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -14.07% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -31.65% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -41.34% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 30.34% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 56% (9/16) against Johan Oviedo with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (13/19) against Johan Oviedo this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has located his pitches away 64% of the time (29/45) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (23/37) against Johan Oviedo this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (56/345) against Jake Woodford since the 2021 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (59/346) against Jake Woodford in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (77/422) against Jake Woodford since last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .301 (25-for-83) against Jake Woodford’s elevated fastball since the 2021 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .203 — second Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 103-74 (.582) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Pirates are just 96-26 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 39-174 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Pirates are just 122-171 (.416) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 25-10 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 98-22 (.817) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals are 51-10 (.836) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Pirates batted just .142 with two-strikes in 2022 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .293 (3,713 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .804 (2,709 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Cardinals hitters have 268 extra-base hits out of 628 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The Pirates pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,239 of 12,873 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,458 of 14,746 batters (10%) since the 2020 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 303 of 3,367 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Left Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Austin Hedges (Pirates): Concussion, D7
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Robert Stephenson (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
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