- The Cardinals are -160 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-160) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Pirates vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Pirates are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-8 ATS.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+6.20 Units / 67% ROI)
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Miles Mikolas | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 away games (+6.60 Units / 99% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 61% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.70 Units / 82% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -6.33% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 42.53% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -15.34% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 9.58% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -11.23% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -30.42% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -42.59% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 32.05% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 75% (27/36) against Mitch Keller on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 7% (1/15) against Mitch Keller on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (9/45) against Mitch Keller this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has a strike rate of 68% (206/301) this season — 13th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 88th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .420 (29-for-69) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .173 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (19 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — second Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .600 against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — first Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 96-26 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 106-75 (.586) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Pirates are just 23-90 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Pirates are just 61-4 (.938) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 24-34 (.414) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 68-39 (.636) when favorites since the 2022 season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .604.
The Cardinals are 51-32 (.614) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .283 (2,001 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Pirates are batting just .144 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Pirates are batting just .223 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 676 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .467 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .812 (1,468 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .805 (2,713 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 642 of 6,810 batters (9%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 303 of 3,367 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 108 opportunities (5%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alec Burleson (Cardinals): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Chase De Jong (Pirates): Knee, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D10
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
