Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 29

St. Louis Cardinals' Jordan Walker warms up before a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
AP Photo/Aaron Gash
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Pirates are +105 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on August 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Pirates are against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are ATS.

Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Lake Bachar 1-3, 3.72 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 10-4, 3.15 ERA

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 +165O 8 -102+105
Cardinals +1.5 -220U 8 -118-125

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Horwitz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jake Mangum has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.35 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+7.90 Units / 99% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nathan Church has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kyle Leahy has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 72% ROI)
  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 103% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Brandon Lowe +390
Jordan Walker +400
Joshua Baez +425
Oneil Cruz +425
Esmerlyn Valdez +450

Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jordan Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Spencer Horwitz 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Rafael Flores 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jordan Walker 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jimmy Crooks 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 27-38 (.415) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 12-77 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 16-61 (.208) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are just 25-15 (.625) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 5-47 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 13-24 (.351) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .270 at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .757 (3,628 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .671 (2,558 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .364 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.45 (605.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 120 double plays in 1,022 opportunities (12%) this season — best in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH this season (3,408 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.